- country
- BiH (RS)
- date text
- 07/02/2025
- actor text
- Milorad Dodik
- campaign id
- BIH-CAMP-004
- confidence notes
- USAID suspension (Feb 3 2025) as trigger confirmed — 4-day lag to authorization signal. Cross-border parallel: same trigger activated SRB-CAMP-006 in Serbia simultaneously. Analytically significant as evidence of coordinated cross-border campaign activation from single external trigger.
- date confidence
- exact
- excerpt
- RS President Dodik at press conference February 7 2025 — four days after USAID suspension (Feb 3) — verbally attacks media receiving USAID grants. Explicitly links BiH independent media to USAID foreign funding. Parallel to SRB-CAMP-006 activation in Serbia on same trigger. Confirms USAID suspension as cross-border trigger activating coordinated campaigns simultaneously in Serbia and BiH.
- id
- SIG-BIH-046
- normalized date
- 2025-02-07
- observation
- country
- BiH (RS)
- actor function
- Authorizing Actor
- actor primary
- Milorad Dodik
- actor type primary
- Senior Official
- campaign id
- BIH-CAMP-004
- campaign phase
- Phase 1: Authorization
- channel primary
- Official/Regulatory
- confidence notes
- USAID suspension (Feb 3 2025) as trigger confirmed — 4-day lag to authorization signal. Cross-border parallel: same trigger activated SRB-CAMP-006 in Serbia simultaneously. Analytically significant as evidence of coordinated cross-border campaign activation from single external trigger.
- consequence category
- Social Trust Erosion
- date confidence
- exact
- escalation stage
- 1
- event date normalized
- 2025-02-07
- event date raw
- 07/02/2025
- harm track
- Track 2 — Social Trust Erosion
- institutional consequence
- Chilling effect; narrative authorization for subsequent restrictions
- narrative density
- High
- narrative origin
- Domestic
- primary narrative code
- NF-01
- primary narrative label
- Foreign Agent / Foreign Influence
- signal id
- SIG-BIH-046
- source text excerpt
- RS President Dodik at press conference February 7 2025 — four days after USAID suspension (Feb 3) — verbally attacks media receiving USAID grants. Explicitly links BiH independent media to USAID foreign funding. Parallel to SRB-CAMP-006 activation in Serbia on same trigger. Confirms USAID suspension as cross-border trigger activating coordinated campaigns simultaneously in Serbia and BiH.
- source type
- Official/Regulatory
- source url
- https://www.mapmf.org/alert/33010
- tactic code
- TC-01
- target
- USAID-funded BiH independent media
- target type
- Media
- trigger event description
- USAID suspension February 3 2025 — 4 days before this signal
- trigger to signal lag
- 4-7
- trigger type
- TR-01: External Political Event
- source type
- Official/Regulatory
- source url
- https://www.mapmf.org/alert/33010
- target text
- USAID-funded BiH independent media
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