{"id":"SIG-BIH-046","country":"BiH (RS)","excerpt":"RS President Dodik at press conference February 7 2025 — four days after USAID suspension (Feb 3) — verbally attacks media receiving USAID grants. Explicitly links BiH independent media to USAID foreign funding. Parallel to SRB-CAMP-006 activation in Serbia on same trigger. Confirms USAID suspension as cross-border trigger activating coordinated campaigns simultaneously in Serbia and BiH.","date_text":"07/02/2025","actor_text":"Milorad Dodik","source_url":"https://www.mapmf.org/alert/33010","campaign_id":"BIH-CAMP-004","incident_id":null,"observation":{"target":"USAID-funded BiH independent media","case_id":"","country":"BiH (RS)","signal_id":"SIG-BIH-046","harm_track":"Track 2 — Social Trust Erosion","source_url":"https://www.mapmf.org/alert/33010","campaign_id":"BIH-CAMP-004","source_type":"Official/Regulatory","tactic_code":"TC-01","target_type":"Media","enabler_type":"","trigger_type":"TR-01: External Political Event","actor_primary":"Milorad Dodik","actor_function":"Authorizing Actor","campaign_phase":"Phase 1: Authorization","enabler_status":"","event_date_raw":"07/02/2025","channel_primary":"Official/Regulatory","date_confidence":"exact","campaigns_served":"","confidence_notes":"USAID suspension (Feb 3 2025) as trigger confirmed — 4-day lag to authorization signal. Cross-border parallel: same trigger activated SRB-CAMP-006 in Serbia simultaneously. Analytically significant as evidence of coordinated cross-border campaign activation from single external trigger.","escalation_stage":"1","narrative_origin":"Domestic","narrative_density":"High","actor_type_primary":"Senior Official","source_text_excerpt":"RS President Dodik at press conference February 7 2025 — four days after USAID suspension (Feb 3) — verbally attacks media receiving USAID grants. Explicitly links BiH independent media to USAID foreign funding. Parallel to SRB-CAMP-006 activation in Serbia on same trigger. Confirms USAID suspension as cross-border trigger activating coordinated campaigns simultaneously in Serbia and BiH.","consequence_category":"Social Trust Erosion","secondary_source_url":"","consequence_signal_id":"","event_date_normalized":"2025-02-07","trigger_to_signal_lag":"4-7","primary_narrative_code":"NF-01","consequence_campaign_id":"","primary_narrative_label":"Foreign Agent / Foreign Influence","secondary_narrative_code":"","institutional_consequence":"Chilling effect; narrative authorization for subsequent restrictions","secondary_narrative_label":"","signal_to_consequence_lag":"","trigger_event_description":"USAID suspension February 3 2025 — 4 days before this signal"},"response_id":null,"source_type":"Official/Regulatory","target_text":"USAID-funded BiH independent media","date_confidence":"exact","normalized_date":"2025-02-07","confidence_notes":"USAID suspension (Feb 3 2025) as trigger confirmed — 4-day lag to authorization signal. Cross-border parallel: same trigger activated SRB-CAMP-006 in Serbia simultaneously. Analytically significant as evidence of coordinated cross-border campaign activation from single external trigger.","secondary_source_url":""}
